Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 3.445449 3.657414 3.883999 4.145713 4.441579 4.768015 5.158717
2025-03-09 3.047543 3.319648 3.625175 3.998203 4.447951 4.981886 5.678701
2025-03-16 2.707288 3.004221 3.349859 3.790158 4.349185 5.055516 6.053066
2025-03-23 2.506275 2.830449 3.221130 3.740370 4.436189 5.377833 6.838098
2025-03-30 2.324061 2.662794 3.083013 3.662321 4.477248 5.654395 7.663881
2025-04-06 2.156287 2.499349 2.935088 3.554468 4.463285 5.856616 8.471643
2025-04-13 1.997897 2.336266 2.773903 3.411158 4.378747 5.939048 9.132032
2025-04-20 1.915957 2.266534 2.731001 3.429839 4.543165 6.477451 11.029397
2025-04-27 1.847196 2.209114 2.699716 3.461897 4.736910 7.137984 13.841737
2025-05-04 1.797802 2.174170 2.696628 3.536490 5.019756 8.094191 19.002215
2025-05-11 1.737377 2.119699 2.660593 3.554760 5.208677 8.951839 26.339896
2025-05-18 1.660890 2.037923 2.577952 3.487379 5.223482 9.411102 34.148638
2025-05-25 1.574150 1.941571 2.473852 3.385901 5.180521 9.796427 46.696466
2025-06-01 1.509207 1.873426 2.408552 3.345698 5.263319 10.650295 89.085833
2025-06-08 1.435737 1.789199 2.313027 3.242928 5.193880 11.011526 180.981849
2025-06-15 1.390964 1.744981 2.277471 3.245369 5.368946 12.468919 NaN
2025-06-22 1.343549 1.694354 2.228251 3.217394 5.469981 13.826157 NaN
2025-06-29 1.293731 1.637715 2.165723 3.157789 5.481531 14.863102 NaN
2025-07-06 1.240809 1.574106 2.088206 3.061980 5.380794 15.245919 NaN
2025-07-13 1.215195 1.550979 2.076108 3.094085 5.638566 18.446431 NaN
2025-07-20 1.192680 1.531437 2.068578 3.134750 5.940387 23.323597 NaN
2025-07-27 1.176890 1.521481 2.076540 3.208989 6.381517 33.238682 NaN
2025-08-03 1.154325 1.499697 2.062455 3.234391 6.681590 46.670986 NaN